Coronavirus Update (Live): 13,459,235 Cases and 581,221 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic - Worldometer
Coronavirus Update (Live): 13,459,235 Cases and 581,221 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Pandemic
How dangerous is the virus?
There are three parameters to thought in order to assess the magnitude of the risk peaceful by this novel coronavirus:
How contagious is the Wuhan Coronavirus? (Ro)
The attack rate or transmissibility (how rapid the disease spreads) of a virus is indicated by its reproductive number (Ro, pronounced R-nought or r-zero), which represents the income number of people to which a single infected persons will transmit the virus.
WHO's estimated (on Jan. 23) Ro to be between 1.4 and 2.5. [13]
Other studies have estimated a Ro between 3.6 and 4.0, and between 2.24 to 3.58. [23].
Preliminary studies had estimated Ro to be between 1.5 and 3.5.[5][6][7]
An outbreak with a reproductive number of beneath 1 will gradually disappear.
For comparison, the Ro for the accepted flu is 1.3 and for SARS it was 2.0.
Fatality Rate (case fatality ratio or CFR) of the Wuhan Coronavirus
See full details: Coronavirus Fatality Rate
The unusual coronavirus' case fatality rate has been estimated at approximately 2%, in the WHO press conference held on January 29, 2020 [16] . Nonetheless, it noted that, without knowing how many were infected, it was too early to be able to put a percentage on the mortality rate figure.
A prior estimates [9] had put that number at 3%.
Fatality rate can mopish as a virus can mutate, according to epidemiologists.
For comparison, the case fatality rate for SARS was 10%, and for MERS 34%.
Incubation Period (how long it takes for symptoms to appear)
See full details: COVID-19 Coronavirus Incubation Period
Symptoms of COVID-19 may fade in as few as 2 days or as long as 14 (estimated possesses vary from 2-10 days, 2-14 days, and 10-14 days, see details), during which the virus is contagious but the patient does not indicate any symptom (asymptomatic transmission).
Age and periods of Coronavirus cases
See another findings: Age, Sex, Demographics of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths
According to early arbitrates by China's National Health Commission (NHC), approximately 80% of those who died were over the age of 60 and 75% of them had pre-existing health periods such as cardiovascular diseases and diabetes.[24]
According to the WHO Situation Report no. 7 originated on Jan. 27:
- The median age of cases detected outside of China is 45 existences, ranging from 2 to 74 years.
- 71% of cases were male.
A inspect of 138 hospitalized patients with NCIP untrue that the median age was 56 existences (interquartile range, 42-68; range, 22-92 years) and 75 (54.3%) were men.[25]
The WHO, in its Myth busters FAQs, addresses the question: "Does the new coronavirus snatch older people, or are younger people also susceptible?" by answering that:
- People of all ages can be infected by the unusual coronavirus COVID-19.
- Older people, and farmland with pre-existing medical conditions (such as asthma, diabetes, sorrowful disease) appear to be more vulnerable to becoming severely ill with the virus.
Patient who died in the Philippines was a 44-year old male
The patient who died in the Philippines on February 2, in what was the safe death occurring outside of China, was a 44-year-old Chinese man from Wuhan who was admitted on Jan. 25 at what time experiencing fever, cough, and sore throat, afore developing severe pneumonia. In the last few days, “the patient was unfriendly and showed signs of improvement, however, the conditions of the patient deteriorated within his last 24 hours resulting in his demise." according to the Philippine Responsibility of Health.
Serious Cases of 30 year old patients in France
As of Jan. 29, according to French authorities, the periods of the two earliest Paris cases had worsened and the patients were inhabit treated in intensive care, according to French authorities. The patients have been explained as a young couple aged 30 and 31 existences old, both Chinese citizens from Wuhan who were asymptomatic when they arrived in Paris on January 18 [19].
Age and Sex of the top-notch deaths as reported by the China National Health Commission (NHC)
The NHC reported the details of the top-notch 17 deaths up to 24 pm on January 22, 2020. The deaths concerned 13 males and 4 females. The median age of the deaths was 75 (range 48-89) years.[21]
WHO Risk Assessment: Global Emergency
See full details: WHO coronavirus updates
On January 30, the World Health Responsibility declared the coronavirus outbreak a Global People Health Emergency.
For more information from the WHO regarding recent coronavirus: WHO page on Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)
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SRC: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
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